Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers — Game center NFL
Oct 5 (Mon) · 12:20 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Live estimate Detroit Lions — Pregame 54%
Carolina Panthers — Pregame 46%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Live win probability is currently unavailable.
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Detroit Lions Carolina Panthers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Jahmyr Gibbs 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Carolina Panthers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
82% Carolina Panthers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
73% Carolina Panthers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Carolina Panthers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Detroit Lions wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Detroit Lions wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Detroit Lions wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Detroit Lions wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat53 Jahmyr Gibbs 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kenny Pickett pass TD 0.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Sione Vaki rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jonathon Brooks rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chuba Hubbard rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tetairoa McMillan 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jahmyr Gibbs rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Amon-Ra St. Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tetairoa McMillan receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sam LaPorta receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jahmyr Gibbs receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Bryce Young pass yds 294.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jared Goff pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Amon-Ra St. Brown 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Darren Waller 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Young pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Bryce Young pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Jahmyr Gibbs 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Jahmyr Gibbs 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Bryce Young pass yds 294.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jared Goff pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Amon-Ra St. Brown 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jahmyr Gibbs receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tetairoa McMillan receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sam LaPorta receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chuba Hubbard rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tetairoa McMillan 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jahmyr Gibbs rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jonathon Brooks rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kenny Pickett pass TD 0.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Sione Vaki rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chuba Hubbard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Sam LaPorta 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Isaac TeSlaa 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tetairoa McMillan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jameson Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jonathon Brooks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD John Metchie III 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD AJ Dillon 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Sione Vaki 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD David Moore 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jackson Meeks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Young 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brock Wright 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kenny Pickett 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mitchell Evans 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tommy Tremble 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Detroit Lions Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 19/33 Live
54% Both total runs 50.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 50.5 Under· Totals Under Carolina Panthers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 32/20 Live
46% Team stats6 Carolina Panthers team runs 23.5 Over· Team Points Detroit Lions team runs 26.5 Over· Team Points Carolina Panthers Team pass yds 349.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Detroit Lions Team pass yds 234.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Detroit Lions Team rush yds 134.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Carolina Panthers Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
