Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders — Game center Scheduled NFL
VS
Oct 4 (Sun) · 1:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Indianapolis Colts 54%
Washington Commanders 46%
Behind the probability same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Indianapolis Colts Washington Commanders
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Jonathan Taylor 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Terry McLaurin receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Jones pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Washington Commanders within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 2.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
82% Washington Commanders within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 2.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
74% Washington Commanders within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Washington Commanders within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Indianapolis Colts wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Indianapolis Colts wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Indianapolis Colts wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Indianapolis Colts wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat38 Jonathan Taylor 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Terry McLaurin receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Jones pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Josh Downs receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Warren 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Stefon Diggs receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Antonio Williams receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Deion Burks rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jacory Croskey-Merritt rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Stefon Diggs 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jonathan Taylor rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Marcus Mariota pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Daniel Jones pass yds 239.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Josh Downs 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Terry McLaurin 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Terry McLaurin 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Marcus Mariota pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Daniel Jones pass yds 239.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Josh Downs 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Stefon Diggs 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jonathan Taylor rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jacory Croskey-Merritt rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Deion Burks rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Stefon Diggs receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Antonio Williams receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Josh Downs receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Warren 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Daniel Jones pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Terry McLaurin receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Warren 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Daniel Jones 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Seth McGowan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ashton Dulin 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Deion Burks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Josh Downs 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Laquon Treadwell 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Andrew Ogletree 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mo Alie-Cox 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Indianapolis Colts Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
54% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Washington Commanders Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
46% Team stats6 Washington Commanders team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Indianapolis Colts team runs 23.5 Over· Team Points Washington Commanders Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Indianapolis Colts Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Indianapolis Colts Team pass yds 229.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Washington Commanders Team rush yds 149.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
