Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders — Game center Final NFL
Oct 4 (Sun) · 8:25 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Kansas City Chiefs 53%
Las Vegas Raiders 47%
Locked before start
Las Vegas Raiders within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 83% Las Vegas Raiders within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 75% Las Vegas Raiders within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 67% Showing 3 of 53 locked markets
Behind the probability same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Kansas City Chiefs Las Vegas Raiders
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Tre Tucker receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Travis Kelce receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Rashee Rice receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Las Vegas Raiders within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
83% Las Vegas Raiders within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
75% Las Vegas Raiders within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Las Vegas Raiders within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Kansas City Chiefs wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Kansas City Chiefs wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Kansas City Chiefs wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Kansas City Chiefs wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat56 Tre Tucker receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Travis Kelce receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Rashee Rice receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Michael Mayer receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Michael Mayer 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Brock Bowers receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Brock Bowers 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Rashee Rice 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Kirk Cousins pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Emmett Johnson rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kenneth Walker III rush yds 99.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ashton Jeanty rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kirk Cousins pass yds 244.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Mike Washington Jr. rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Patrick Mahomes pass yds 219.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Travis Kelce 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Patrick Mahomes pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Rashee Rice 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ashton Jeanty 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Patrick Mahomes pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Travis Kelce 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Brock Bowers 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Patrick Mahomes pass yds 219.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kirk Cousins pass yds 244.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Mike Washington Jr. rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Ashton Jeanty rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kenneth Walker III rush yds 99.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Emmett Johnson rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kirk Cousins pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Rashee Rice 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Brock Bowers receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Brock Bowers 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Michael Mayer receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Michael Mayer 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Rashee Rice receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Tucker receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Travis Kelce receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kenneth Walker III 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cody White 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Patrick Mahomes 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Kelce 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tre Tucker 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jalen Royals 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mike Washington Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Emmett Johnson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Connor Heyward 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dareke Young 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cyrus Allen 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ian Thomas 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jalen Nailor 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Malik Benson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jake Briningstool 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Xavier Worthy 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kirk Cousins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Mayer 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brashard Smith 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Kansas City Chiefs Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 30/28 Hit
53% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Las Vegas Raiders Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 27/31 Miss
47% Team stats6 Las Vegas Raiders team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Kansas City Chiefs team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Las Vegas Raiders Team rush yds 79.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Kansas City Chiefs Team pass yds 234.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Las Vegas Raiders Team pass yds 259.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Kansas City Chiefs Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
