Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints — Game center Final NFL
Sep 27 (Sun) · 8:25 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Las Vegas Raiders 73%
New Orleans Saints 27%
Locked before start
Ashton Jeanty receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 64% Juwan Johnson receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 63% Devaughn Vele receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 59% Showing 3 of 47 locked markets
Behind the probability same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Las Vegas Raiders New Orleans Saints
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Ashton Jeanty 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Noah Fant 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Juwan Johnson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 New Orleans Saints within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.8 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
82% New Orleans Saints within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.8 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
73% New Orleans Saints within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 New Orleans Saints within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Las Vegas Raiders wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Las Vegas Raiders wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Las Vegas Raiders wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Las Vegas Raiders wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Las Vegas Raiders Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 35/28 Hit
73% Both total runs 46.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 46.5 Under· Totals Under New Orleans Saints Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 27/36 Miss
27% player stat61 Ashton Jeanty 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Noah Fant 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Juwan Johnson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kendre Miller 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ashton Jeanty receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Juwan Johnson receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Brock Bowers receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Travis Etienne rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Olave 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Tre Tucker receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mike Washington Jr. rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Devaughn Vele receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Alvin Kamara rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Olave receiving yds 74.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cody White 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kirk Cousins pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kirk Cousins pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Tyler Shough pass yds 234.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Ashton Jeanty rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Juwan Johnson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Tyler Shough pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Ashton Jeanty 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Brock Bowers 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Tre Tucker 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brock Bowers 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Ashton Jeanty 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Brock Bowers 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Etienne 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Shough pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Juwan Johnson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Tyler Shough pass yds 234.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Ashton Jeanty rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kirk Cousins pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Kirk Cousins pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Chris Olave 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Alvin Kamara rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Olave receiving yds 74.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Devaughn Vele receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mike Washington Jr. rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Olave 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Tre Tucker receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Travis Etienne rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Brock Bowers receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Juwan Johnson receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ashton Jeanty receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Shough 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mike Washington Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD CJ Donaldson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Devaughn Vele 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Connor Heyward 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Barion Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kevin Austin Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dareke Young 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Oscar Delp 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ian Thomas 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jalen Nailor 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Lance 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Malik Benson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Alvin Kamara 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kirk Cousins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Mayer 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Team stats6 New Orleans Saints team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points Las Vegas Raiders team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points New Orleans Saints Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds New Orleans Saints Team pass yds 274.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Las Vegas Raiders Team pass yds 209.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Las Vegas Raiders Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
