Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks — Game center NFL
Oct 4 (Sun) · 8:25 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Live estimate Los Angeles Chargers — Pregame 23%
Seattle Seahawks — Pregame 77%
Locked before start
Seattle Seahawks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 77% Los Angeles Chargers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 66% Seattle Seahawks wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 68% Showing 3 of 70 locked markets
Live win probability is currently unavailable.
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Los Angeles Chargers Seattle Seahawks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Emanuel Wilson rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tre Harris receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yds 94.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Seattle Seahawks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 30/21 Live
77% Both total runs 37.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 37.5 Under· Totals Under Los Angeles Chargers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 20/31 Live
23% Winning margin8 Seattle Seahawks wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
승자 probability same 연속 score차 model, 함의된 avg score 차는 8.4 pts이다. 잠정value이고 독립적인 score predicted 아니다. (Same continuous margin model as Win Probability; implied mean margin 8.4 points. Provisional; not an independent score prediction.)
68% Los Angeles Chargers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 8.4 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
66% Seattle Seahawks wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Los Angeles Chargers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Seattle Seahawks wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Los Angeles Chargers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Seattle Seahawks wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Los Angeles Chargers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat52 Emanuel Wilson rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tre Harris receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yds 94.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sam Darnold pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Omarion Hampton rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Drew Lock pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Keaton Mitchell rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Alec Ingold receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cooper Kupp receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tory Horton receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba 리셉션 7.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Justin Herbert pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Justin Herbert pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Drew Lock pass yds 229.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Tory Horton 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Tre Harris 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Tre Harris 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Tory Horton 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Omarion Hampton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Drew Lock pass yds 229.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Justin Herbert pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Justin Herbert pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Tory Horton receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaxon Smith-Njigba 리셉션 7.5 Over· Receptions Over Cooper Kupp receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Drew Lock pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Keaton Mitchell rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Alec Ingold receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Omarion Hampton rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Quentin Johnston 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Sam Darnold pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yds 94.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Harris receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Emanuel Wilson rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over AJ Barner 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brady Russell 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kimani Vidal 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD David Njoku 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD George Holani 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Oronde Gadsden II 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tory Horton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Eric Saubert 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Derius Davis 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Emanuel Wilson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Drew Lock 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cooper Kupp 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Justin Herbert 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Marquez Valdes-Scantling 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Rashid Shaheed 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Elijah Arroyo 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Keaton Mitchell 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Team stats6 Los Angeles Chargers team runs 14.5 Over· Team Points Seattle Seahawks team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points Seattle Seahawks Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Seattle Seahawks Team pass yds 289.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Los Angeles Chargers Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Los Angeles Chargers Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
