Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos — Game center Final NFL
Sep 28 (Mon) · 12:20 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Los Angeles Rams 41%
Denver Broncos 59%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Los Angeles Rams Denver Broncos
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Stetson Bennett pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Puka Nacua receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Davante Adams receiving yds 89.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Los Angeles Rams within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
81% Los Angeles Rams within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
72% Los Angeles Rams within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Los Angeles Rams within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Denver Broncos wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Denver Broncos wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Denver Broncos wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Denver Broncos wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat58 Stetson Bennett pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Puka Nacua receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Davante Adams receiving yds 89.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Blake Corum rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kyren Williams rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Davante Adams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Pat Bryant receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylen Waddle receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under RJ Harvey receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Bo Nix pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under J.K. Dobbins rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyler Higbee receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Higbee 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Bo Nix pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under RJ Harvey 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Matthew Stafford pass yds 269.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Matthew Stafford pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Jaylen Waddle 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Kyren Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Davante Adams 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Davante Adams 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylen Waddle 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Puka Nacua 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Matthew Stafford pass TD 2.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Matthew Stafford pass yds 269.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Bo Nix pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over RJ Harvey 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over J.K. Dobbins rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over RJ Harvey 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Higbee receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Higbee 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaylen Waddle receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over RJ Harvey receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Bo Nix pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Pat Bryant receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kyren Williams rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Blake Corum rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Davante Adams receiving yds 89.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Puka Nacua receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Colby Parkinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Nate Adkins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Higbee 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Stetson Bennett pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Bo Nix 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Courtland Sutton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD J.K. Dobbins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Terrance Ferguson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jaylen Waddle 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Troy Franklin 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Blake Corum 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Lil'Jordan Humphrey 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Konata Mumpfield 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Pat Bryant 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Davis Allen 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Stetson Bennett 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Evan Engram 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tutu Atwell 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Adam Trautman 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Denver Broncos Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 30/27 Hit
59% Both total runs 40.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 40.5 Under· Totals Under Los Angeles Rams Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 26/31 Miss
41% Team stats6 Los Angeles Rams team runs 20.5 Over· Team Points Denver Broncos team runs 20.5 Over· Team Points Denver Broncos Team pass yds 174.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Denver Broncos Team rush yds 69.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Los Angeles Rams Team pass yds 314.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Los Angeles Rams Team rush yds 149.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
