Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns — Game center Final NFL
Oct 2 (Fri) · 12:15 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Pittsburgh Steelers 86%
Cleveland Browns 14%
Locked before start
Pittsburgh Steelers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 88% Pittsburgh Steelers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 81% Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under 71% Showing 3 of 56 locked markets
Behind the probability same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Aaron Rodgers pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Pat Freiermuth 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Pittsburgh Steelers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
88% Pittsburgh Steelers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
81% Pittsburgh Steelers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Pittsburgh Steelers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Cleveland Browns wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Cleveland Browns wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Cleveland Browns wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Cleveland Browns wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Pittsburgh Steelers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 24/28 Miss
86% Both total runs 36.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 36.5 Under· Totals Under Cleveland Browns Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 27/25 Hit
14% player stat61 Aaron Rodgers pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Pat Freiermuth 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Deshaun Watson pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under DK Metcalf receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylen Warren receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under KC Concepcion receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Roman Wilson receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Denzel Boston receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Harold Fannin Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylen Warren rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Deshaun Watson rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under DK Metcalf 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Denzel Boston 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Quinshon Judkins rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Deshaun Watson pass yds 209.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Aaron Rodgers pass yds 254.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Harold Fannin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Shedeur Sanders pass TD 0.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Pat Freiermuth 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over KC Concepcion 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under KC Concepcion 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Pat Freiermuth 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Shedeur Sanders pass TD 0.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Harold Fannin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Deshaun Watson pass yds 209.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Aaron Rodgers pass yds 254.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Quinshon Judkins rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over DK Metcalf 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Deshaun Watson rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Denzel Boston receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Harold Fannin Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylen Warren rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Roman Wilson receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over KC Concepcion receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylen Warren receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DK Metcalf receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Deshaun Watson pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Quinshon Judkins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jaylen Warren 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD DK Metcalf 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Pittman 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Harold Fannin Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Aaron Rodgers pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Lew Nichols III 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Homer 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Raheim Sanders 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Blake Whiteheart 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ben Skowronek 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Germie Bernard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Robert Tonyan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD KC Concepcion 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Roman Wilson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mason Rudolph 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Burton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Deshaun Watson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jaleel McLaughlin 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Shedeur Sanders 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jerry Jeudy 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Darnell Washington 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Team stats6 Pittsburgh Steelers team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points Cleveland Browns team runs 17.5 Over· Team Points Cleveland Browns Team pass yds 199.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Pittsburgh Steelers Team pass yds 264.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Cleveland Browns Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Pittsburgh Steelers Team rush yds 94.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
