Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders — Game center Final NFL
Sep 27 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Seattle Seahawks 65%
Washington Commanders 35%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Seattle Seahawks Washington Commanders
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Stefon Diggs receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tory Horton receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Washington Commanders within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 5.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
75% Washington Commanders within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 5.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
65% Washington Commanders within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Seattle Seahawks wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Washington Commanders within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Seattle Seahawks wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Seattle Seahawks wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Seattle Seahawks wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Seattle Seahawks Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 31/34 Miss
65% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Washington Commanders Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 33/32 Hit
35% player stat48 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Stefon Diggs receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Stefon Diggs 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yds 99.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tory Horton receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Terry McLaurin receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Emanuel Wilson rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tory Horton 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Drew Lock pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Antonio Williams receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cooper Kupp receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jadarian Price rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jacory Croskey-Merritt rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jayden Daniels rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Marcus Mariota pass yds 149.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Drew Lock pass yds 244.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba 리셉션 7.5 Under· Receptions Under Sam Darnold pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Terry McLaurin 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Terry McLaurin 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba 리셉션 7.5 Over· Receptions Over Sam Darnold pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Drew Lock pass yds 244.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Marcus Mariota pass yds 149.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jacory Croskey-Merritt rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jayden Daniels rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jadarian Price rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Antonio Williams receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cooper Kupp receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Terry McLaurin receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Emanuel Wilson rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tory Horton 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Drew Lock pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Stefon Diggs receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Stefon Diggs 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yds 99.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tory Horton receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over AJ Barner 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brady Russell 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Eric Saubert 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD George Holani 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jadarian Price 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tory Horton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cooper Kupp 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Emanuel Wilson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Drew Lock 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Rashid Shaheed 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Elijah Arroyo 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Team stats6 Seattle Seahawks team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Washington Commanders team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Washington Commanders Team rush yds 114.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Seattle Seahawks Team pass yds 309.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Washington Commanders Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Seattle Seahawks Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
