Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens — Game center Scheduled NFL
VS
Oct 4 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Tennessee Titans 23%
Baltimore Ravens 77%
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD 71%
Model probability
View model reasoning 잠정value: 이번 season 출전 3games 6TD, 지난 season 2025 본인·동일 포지션 history(17games) 8games shrunk adjusted, expected 1.2TD. 출전은 가정한 value이다. (Provisional: 3 current-season appearances, 6 TD; prior-season 2025 player/position history (17 appearances), 8-game shrinkage; expected 1.2 TD. Participation assumed.) → per game expected 1.2TD basis scoring distribution P(1x or more)
RB sample adjusted (games 수 적음) Rashod Bateman receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mark Andrews receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Baltimore Ravens Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
77% Both total runs 41.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 41.5 Under· Totals Under Tennessee Titans Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
23% player stat60 DH Derrick Henry 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Low
잠정value: 이번 season 출전 3games 6TD, 지난 season 2025 본인·동일 포지션 history(17games) 8games shrunk adjusted, expected 1.2TD. 출전은 가정한 value이다. (Provisional: 3 current-season appearances, 6 TD; prior-season 2025 player/position history (17 appearances), 8-game shrinkage; expected 1.2 TD. Participation assumed.) → per game expected 1.2TD basis scoring distribution P(1x or more)
71% Rashod Bateman receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mark Andrews receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Carnell Tate receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Elic Ayomanor receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lamar Jackson rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyjae Spears rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mark Andrews 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Wan'Dale Robinson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Zay Flowers receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Derrick Henry rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Zay Flowers 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Cam Ward pass yds 194.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cam Ward pass TD 0.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Lamar Jackson pass yds 204.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Lamar Jackson pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Tony Pollard rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Wan'Dale Robinson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Carnell Tate 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Wan'Dale Robinson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Carnell Tate 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Lamar Jackson pass yds 204.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Lamar Jackson pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Tony Pollard rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Zay Flowers 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Cam Ward pass yds 194.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Cam Ward pass TD 0.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Derrick Henry rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Zay Flowers receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mark Andrews 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Wan'Dale Robinson receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Lamar Jackson rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tyjae Spears rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Rashod Bateman receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mark Andrews receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Carnell Tate receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Elic Ayomanor receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zay Flowers 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Nicholas Singleton 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Wan'Dale Robinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Elic Ayomanor 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Matthew Hibner 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mark Andrews 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cam Ward 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Justice Hill 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tony Pollard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Lamar Jackson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Rashod Bateman 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ja'Kobi Lane 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Chris Moore 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD LaJohntay Wester 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Devontez Walker 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Josh Cuevas 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Chimere Dike 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Calvin Ridley 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Durham Smythe 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Carnell Tate 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Daniel Bellinger 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyjae Spears 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Gunnar Helm 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Winning margin8 Baltimore Ravens wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
승자 probability same 연속 score차 model, 함의된 avg score 차는 9.7 pts이다. 잠정value이고 독립적인 score predicted 아니다. (Same continuous margin model as Win Probability; implied mean margin 9.7 points. Provisional; not an independent score prediction.)
68% Tennessee Titans within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Baltimore Ravens wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Tennessee Titans within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Baltimore Ravens wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Tennessee Titans within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Baltimore Ravens wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Tennessee Titans within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Baltimore Ravens team runs 27.5 Over· Team Points Tennessee Titans team runs 14.5 Over· Team Points Tennessee Titans Team rush yds 79.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Baltimore Ravens Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Baltimore Ravens Team pass yds 219.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Tennessee Titans Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
