Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics — Game center
CareFirst ArenaSep 30 (Wed) · 11:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect?
Unverified model estimateAtlanta Dream45%
Washington Mystics55%
MissedNo pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability
season record 28-16 vs 30-14 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 2)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
absences
home 0 / away 2
+5.1%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p
Win% gap
0.636 vs 0.682
-2.7%p
Head to head
Atlanta DreamWashington Mystics
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models
Spread6
games4
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.