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Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics — Game center

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Connecticut Sun team logo

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Connecticut Sun
6979
Washington Mystics team logo

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Washington Mystics
CareFirst ArenaSep 22 (Tue) · 11:30 PM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast
Connecticut Sun5%
Washington Mystics96%

Locked before start

  • Washington MysticsHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability96%Hit
  • Washington Mysticswins by 4+· Spread -3.588%
  • Washington Mysticswins by 6+· Spread -5.584%

Showing 3 of 11 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 27-16 vs 10-33 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 5)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.628 vs 0.233
+23.7%p
absences
home 0 / away 5
+8.0%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p

Head to head

Connecticut SunWashington Mystics

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

Explore the models

games4
Spread6
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.