Dallas Wings at Phoenix Mercury — Game center
Mortgage Matchup CenterSep 22 (Tue) · 2:00 AM UTC
What did the model expect?
Pregame forecastDallas Wings74%
Phoenix Mercury26%
Locked before start
- Dallas WingsAway Win· Away Team · Win Probability74%Miss
- Phoenix Mercurywithin 10 pts· Spread +9.560%
- Dallas Wingswins by 4+· Spread -3.560%
Showing 3 of 11 locked markets
Behind the probability
season record 26-17 vs 16-27 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.372 vs 0.605
+14.0%p
Home edge
+3.5%
-3.5%p
Head to head
Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
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Spread6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.