Golden State Valkyries at Las Vegas Aces — Game center Scheduled WNBA
VS
Oct 10 (Sat) · 1:30 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Golden State Valkyries 49%
Las Vegas Aces 50%
Behind the probability season record 31-13 vs 32-12 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 1)· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Golden State Valkyries Las Vegas Aces
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Golden State Valkyries within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Low
expected margin 0.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
79% Golden State Valkyries within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Low
expected margin 0.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
67% Golden State Valkyries within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Las Vegas Aces wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Las Vegas Aces wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Las Vegas Aces wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Both total runs 165.5 Under· Totals Under Las Vegas Aces Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 31-13 vs 32-12 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 1)· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
50% Golden State Valkyries Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 32-12 vs 31-13 — away adjustment applied
49% Both total runs 165.5 Over· Totals Over Team stats6 Las Vegas Aces team runs 81.5 Over· Team Points Golden State Valkyries team rebounds 36.5 Over· Team REB Golden State Valkyries team runs 83.5 Over· Team Points Las Vegas Aces team assists 17.5 Over· Team AST Las Vegas Aces team rebounds 29.5 Over· Team REB Golden State Valkyries team assists 17.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
