Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces — Game center
Michelob ULTRA ArenaSep 27 (Sun) · 8:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect?
Unverified model estimateIndiana Fever39%
Las Vegas Aces61%
MissedNo pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability
season record 31-13 vs 28-16 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 3 / away 1)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.705 vs 0.636
+4.1%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p
absences
home 3 / away 1
-2.6%p
Head to head
Indiana FeverLas Vegas Aces
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models
Spread6
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Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.