Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever — Game center
Gainbridge FieldhouseSep 29 (Tue) · 10:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect?
Unverified model estimateLas Vegas Aces51%
Indiana Fever49%
MissedNo pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability
season record 31-13 vs 28-16 — away adjustment applied
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.636 vs 0.705
+4.1%p
Home edge
+3.5%
-3.5%p
absences
home 1 / away 3
-2.6%p
Head to head
Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models
Spread6
games4
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.