Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun — Game center
Mohegan Sun ArenaSep 20 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect?
Pregame forecastMinnesota Lynx95%
Connecticut Sun6%
Locked before start
- Minnesota LynxAway Win· Away Team · Win Probability95%Hit
- Minnesota Lynxwins by 4+· Spread -3.586%
- Minnesota Lynxwins by 6+· Spread -5.582%
Showing 3 of 10 locked markets
Behind the probability
season record 32-10 vs 10-32 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.238 vs 0.762
+31.4%p
Home edge
+3.5%
-3.5%p
absences
home 5 / away 2
+3.0%p
Head to head
Minnesota LynxConnecticut Sun
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models
games4
Spread6
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.