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Portland Fire at Los Angeles Sparks — Game center

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Portland Fire team logo

Away

Portland Fire
84105
Los Angeles Sparks team logo

Home

Los Angeles Sparks
crypto.com ArenaSep 20 (Sun) · 11:00 PM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast
Portland Fire38%
Los Angeles Sparks62%

Locked before start

  • Portland Firewithin 10 pts· Spread +9.572%
  • Portland Firewithin 6 pts· Spread +5.559%
  • Los Angeles SparksHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability62%Hit

Showing 3 of 13 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 16-26 vs 16-27 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 4 / away 6)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p
absences
home 4 / away 6
+1.6%p
Win% gap
0.381 vs 0.372
+0.5%p

Head to head

Portland FireLos Angeles Sparks

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

Explore the models

Spread6
games4
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.