Seattle Storm at Golden State Valkyries — WNBA win probability & player stat model

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Away

Seattle Storm

5770

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Golden State Valkyries

Chase CenterSep 20 (Sun) · 1:00 AM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast

Seattle Storm4%

Golden State Valkyries96%

Locked before start

Golden State ValkyriesHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability96%Hit
Golden State Valkyrieswins by 4+· Spread -3.590%
Golden State Valkyrieswins by 6+· Spread -5.587%

Showing 3 of 10 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 31-11 vs 8-34 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 4)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability

Win% gap

0.738 vs 0.190

+32.9%p

absences

home 1 / away 4

+3.6%p

Home edge

+3.5%

+3.5%p

Head to head

Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

Explore the models

games4

Spread6

Team stats6

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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.

Seattle Storm at Golden State Valkyries — Game center

What did the model expect?

Head to head

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