Toronto Tempo at Chicago Sky — WNBA win probability & player stat model

Final WNBA

Away

Toronto Tempo

8597

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Chicago Sky

Wintrust ArenaSep 23 (Wed) · 12:00 AM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast

Toronto Tempo35%

Chicago Sky65%

Locked before start

Chicago SkyHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability65%Hit
Toronto Tempowithin 10 pts· Spread +9.569%
Chicago Skywins by 4+· Spread -3.551%

Showing 3 of 15 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 16-27 vs 11-32 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 6 / away 7)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)· win/loss normalized to 100%

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability

Win% gap

0.372 vs 0.256

+7.0%p

Home edge

+3.5%

+3.5%p

Head to head

Toronto TempoChicago Sky

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

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Spread6

games4

Team stats6

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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.

Toronto Tempo at Chicago Sky — Game center

What did the model expect?

Head to head

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